Elon Musk’s X posting pace through the first days of the September 8–15 window has kept the 160-179 and 180-199 bins neck-and-neck at roughly 21% and 19.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in his typical daily cadence of 20-plus posts when Tesla deliveries, xAI updates, or political commentary heat up, while discounting the chance of sustained slowdowns or weekend lulls. Historical weekly totals and recent engagement spikes around product launches or regulatory news continue to anchor the distribution, with the tight spread underscoring how a single high-volume day or quiet stretch could swing the final count. No major scheduled events appear likely to push volume dramatically higher or lower before the period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert160-179 23%
180-199 20%
140-159 16%
200-219 15%
$313,444 Vol.
$313,444 Vol.
15. Sep. 2026
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80–99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
7%
140-159
16%
160-179
23%
180-199
20%
200-219
15%
220-239
9%
240-259
5%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 23%
180-199 20%
140-159 16%
200-219 15%
$313,444 Vol.
$313,444 Vol.
15. Sep. 2026
20-39
$227 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$2,810 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$15,141 Vol.
<1%
80–99
$25,693 Vol.
1%
100-119
$30,981 Vol.
3%
120-139
$31,679 Vol.
7%
140-159
$9,465 Vol.
16%
160-179
$5,999 Vol.
23%
180-199
$8,874 Vol.
20%
200-219
$6,524 Vol.
15%
220-239
$7,410 Vol.
9%
240-259
$9,087 Vol.
5%
260-279
$11,640 Vol.
2%
280-299
$8,558 Vol.
1%
300-319
$15,550 Vol.
1%
320-339
$9,839 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$11,483 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$8,806 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$7,892 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$18,261 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$5,123 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$2,893 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$1,900 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$2,583 Vol.
<1%
500+
$53,686 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X posting pace through the first days of the September 8–15 window has kept the 160-179 and 180-199 bins neck-and-neck at roughly 21% and 19.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in his typical daily cadence of 20-plus posts when Tesla deliveries, xAI updates, or political commentary heat up, while discounting the chance of sustained slowdowns or weekend lulls. Historical weekly totals and recent engagement spikes around product launches or regulatory news continue to anchor the distribution, with the tight spread underscoring how a single high-volume day or quiet stretch could swing the final count. No major scheduled events appear likely to push volume dramatically higher or lower before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$313,444Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X posting pace through the first days of the September 8–15 window has kept the 160-179 and 180-199 bins neck-and-neck at roughly 21% and 19.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in his typical daily cadence of 20-plus posts when Tesla deliveries, xAI updates, or political commentary heat up, while discounting the chance of sustained slowdowns or weekend lulls. Historical weekly totals and recent engagement spikes around product launches or regulatory news continue to anchor the distribution, with the tight spread underscoring how a single high-volume day or quiet stretch could swing the final count. No major scheduled events appear likely to push volume dramatically higher or lower before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$313,444Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s X posting pace through the first days of the September 8–15 window has kept the 160-179 and 180-199 bins neck-and-neck at roughly 21% and 19.5% implied probability. Traders are pricing in his typical daily cadence of 20-plus posts when Tesla deliveries, xAI updates, or political commentary heat up, while discounting the chance of sustained slowdowns or weekend lulls. Historical weekly totals and recent engagement spikes around product launches or regulatory news continue to anchor the distribution, with the tight spread underscoring how a single high-volume day or quiet stretch could swing the final count. No major scheduled events appear likely to push volume dramatically higher or lower before the period closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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