Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke maintaining a clear lead at 21-22 percent in final surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, up sharply from its 12 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote. This positioning stems from the party's emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls under top candidate Elif Eralp, combined with strength in eastern districts and opposition dynamics against the national CDU-led government. Traders price the 23 percent-plus outcome at 99.3 percent because projections and exit polls now place the party near 25 percent. Late adjustments in turnout among undecided voters or polling inaccuracies in a multi-party field could still narrow the final tally, though current data indicate limited room for such shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert23 %+ 99.3%
17–20 % <1%
20–23 % <1%
<17% <1%
$94,521 Vol.
$94,521 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<17%
<1%
17–20 %
<1%
20–23 %
<1%
23 %+
99%
23 %+ 99.3%
17–20 % <1%
20–23 % <1%
<17% <1%
$94,521 Vol.
$94,521 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<17%
$16,596 Vol.
<1%
17–20 %
$23,193 Vol.
<1%
20–23 %
$21,512 Vol.
<1%
23 %+
$33,220 Vol.
99%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke maintaining a clear lead at 21-22 percent in final surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, up sharply from its 12 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote. This positioning stems from the party's emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls under top candidate Elif Eralp, combined with strength in eastern districts and opposition dynamics against the national CDU-led government. Traders price the 23 percent-plus outcome at 99.3 percent because projections and exit polls now place the party near 25 percent. Late adjustments in turnout among undecided voters or polling inaccuracies in a multi-party field could still narrow the final tally, though current data indicate limited room for such shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volumen
$94,521Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke maintaining a clear lead at 21-22 percent in final surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, up sharply from its 12 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote. This positioning stems from the party's emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls under top candidate Elif Eralp, combined with strength in eastern districts and opposition dynamics against the national CDU-led government. Traders price the 23 percent-plus outcome at 99.3 percent because projections and exit polls now place the party near 25 percent. Late adjustments in turnout among undecided voters or polling inaccuracies in a multi-party field could still narrow the final tally, though current data indicate limited room for such shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volumen
$94,521Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Die Linke maintaining a clear lead at 21-22 percent in final surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA, up sharply from its 12 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote. This positioning stems from the party's emphasis on housing affordability and rent controls under top candidate Elif Eralp, combined with strength in eastern districts and opposition dynamics against the national CDU-led government. Traders price the 23 percent-plus outcome at 99.3 percent because projections and exit polls now place the party near 25 percent. Late adjustments in turnout among undecided voters or polling inaccuracies in a multi-party field could still narrow the final tally, though current data indicate limited room for such shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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