**Persistent inflation above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target, robust nominal GDP growth, and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike are the main factors supporting the 53.0% market-implied probability of a 25 bps rate increase at the November 2026 meeting.** August 2026 CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year with core inflation at 3.4%, while strong semiconductor-driven expansion and elevated Seoul housing prices have kept financial stability concerns elevated. The widened Korea-U.S. rate differential adds pressure on the won, aligning BOK policy with global tightening. The 41.5% probability of no change reflects caution over the lagged effects of July and August hikes to 3.00%, with traders monitoring upcoming inflation prints and October data for confirmation before the November 26 decision.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnhebung um 25 Basispunkte 53%
Keine Änderung 41%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte 5.7%
25 Basispunkte Senkung 1.3%
$22,752 Vol.
$22,752 Vol.
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte
<1%
25 Basispunkte Senkung
1%
Keine Änderung
41%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte
53%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte
6%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte 53%
Keine Änderung 41%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte 5.7%
25 Basispunkte Senkung 1.3%
$22,752 Vol.
$22,752 Vol.
Senkung um 50+ Basispunkte
<1%
25 Basispunkte Senkung
1%
Keine Änderung
41%
Anhebung um 25 Basispunkte
53%
Erhöhung um 50+ Basispunkte
6%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent inflation above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target, robust nominal GDP growth, and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike are the main factors supporting the 53.0% market-implied probability of a 25 bps rate increase at the November 2026 meeting.** August 2026 CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year with core inflation at 3.4%, while strong semiconductor-driven expansion and elevated Seoul housing prices have kept financial stability concerns elevated. The widened Korea-U.S. rate differential adds pressure on the won, aligning BOK policy with global tightening. The 41.5% probability of no change reflects caution over the lagged effects of July and August hikes to 3.00%, with traders monitoring upcoming inflation prints and October data for confirmation before the November 26 decision.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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