Recent polling in mid-September shows a fragmented field for the October 4 Arequipa mayoral election, with Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes holding a modest lead around 18-21% while Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera, Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto, Alfredo Álvarez Díaz, and others trail in the low-to-mid teens. Multiple candidate debates throughout early September and disqualifications of several aspirants in August have kept attention on viability and organization rather than any single frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with the top outcome priced near even money and the field remaining competitive. Further separation could emerge from final-week polling trends, turnout patterns among key districts, or late endorsements by regional movements ahead of the vote count.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertManuel Enrique Vera Paredes 48%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 17%
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy 10.0%
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 9.2%
$18,740 Vol.
$18,740 Vol.

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
53%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
17%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
10%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
9%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
9%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
6%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
4%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
4%

José Miguel Briones Silva
4%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
4%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
4%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
3%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
3%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
3%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
2%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
2%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
1%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
1%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
1%

Isidro Flores Sosa
1%
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 48%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 17%
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy 10.0%
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 9.2%
$18,740 Vol.
$18,740 Vol.

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
53%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
17%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
10%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
9%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
9%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
6%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
4%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
4%

José Miguel Briones Silva
4%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
4%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
4%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
3%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
3%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
3%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
2%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
2%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
1%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
1%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
1%

Isidro Flores Sosa
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in mid-September shows a fragmented field for the October 4 Arequipa mayoral election, with Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes holding a modest lead around 18-21% while Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera, Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto, Alfredo Álvarez Díaz, and others trail in the low-to-mid teens. Multiple candidate debates throughout early September and disqualifications of several aspirants in August have kept attention on viability and organization rather than any single frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with the top outcome priced near even money and the field remaining competitive. Further separation could emerge from final-week polling trends, turnout patterns among key districts, or late endorsements by regional movements ahead of the vote count.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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