Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory card icon

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

100%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$510K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

13%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$16K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory card icon

Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?

99%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$10K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

11%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

নতুন

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%

Ruas 10-15%

Ruas <5%

Ruas 10-15%

$47K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 10-15%

Celina 15-20%

Celina 10-15%

Celina 15-20%

$11K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

100%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$20K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory card icon

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

100%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$10M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

80-82%

99%

Yes99%No<1%

76-78%

Yes2%No98%

80-82%

99%

Yes99%No<1%

76-78%

Yes2%No98%

$92K Vol.

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems

47%

Yes47%No53%

Lula, Netanyahu, Reps

10%

Yes10%No90%

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems

47%

Yes47%No53%

Lula, Netanyahu, Reps

10%

Yes10%No90%

$440K Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$12K Vol.

মাসিক

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

14%

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

নতুন

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

Under 5%

22%

Yes22%No78%

40% to 59.99%

19%

Yes19%No81%

Under 5%

22%

Yes22%No78%

40% to 59.99%

19%

Yes19%No81%

$16K Vol.

Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?

↑5.5

↓4.5

↑5.5

↓4.5

নতুন

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

December 31

55%

Yes55%No45%

October 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

December 31

55%

Yes55%No45%

October 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

$34K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$251K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%

45%

Yes45%No55%

5.50-5.99%

36%

Yes36%No64%

5.00-5.49%

45%

Yes45%No55%

5.50-5.99%

36%

Yes36%No64%

$181K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

সম্ভাবনা

Yes

$100K Vol.