Canada’s federal government has maintained strict 2026–2028 immigration targets that sharply curtail new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually, with the explicit goal of reducing non-permanent residents below 5 percent of the total population by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data show this policy produced Canada’s first annual population decline on record in 2025 (roughly 102,000–103,500 people) and three consecutive quarterly drops into early 2026, driven by net outflows of more than 170,000 non-permanent residents in late 2025 alone plus reduced permanent inflows and flat-to-negative natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Office projections anticipate continued flat or negative growth through 2026 as outflows persist, aligning with trader consensus that the full-year 2026 contraction will exceed prior records.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
89% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Apr 29, 2027
89% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Apr 29, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has maintained strict 2026–2028 immigration targets that sharply curtail new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually, with the explicit goal of reducing non-permanent residents below 5 percent of the total population by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data show this policy produced Canada’s first annual population decline on record in 2025 (roughly 102,000–103,500 people) and three consecutive quarterly drops into early 2026, driven by net outflows of more than 170,000 non-permanent residents in late 2025 alone plus reduced permanent inflows and flat-to-negative natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Office projections anticipate continued flat or negative growth through 2026 as outflows persist, aligning with trader consensus that the full-year 2026 contraction will exceed prior records.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,069শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has maintained strict 2026–2028 immigration targets that sharply curtail new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually, with the explicit goal of reducing non-permanent residents below 5 percent of the total population by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data show this policy produced Canada’s first annual population decline on record in 2025 (roughly 102,000–103,500 people) and three consecutive quarterly drops into early 2026, driven by net outflows of more than 170,000 non-permanent residents in late 2025 alone plus reduced permanent inflows and flat-to-negative natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Office projections anticipate continued flat or negative growth through 2026 as outflows persist, aligning with trader consensus that the full-year 2026 contraction will exceed prior records.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$2,069শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has maintained strict 2026–2028 immigration targets that sharply curtail new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually, with the explicit goal of reducing non-permanent residents below 5 percent of the total population by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data show this policy produced Canada’s first annual population decline on record in 2025 (roughly 102,000–103,500 people) and three consecutive quarterly drops into early 2026, driven by net outflows of more than 170,000 non-permanent residents in late 2025 alone plus reduced permanent inflows and flat-to-negative natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Office projections anticipate continued flat or negative growth through 2026 as outflows persist, aligning with trader consensus that the full-year 2026 contraction will exceed prior records.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা