Google's prolonged delay of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O and pushed back for coding and agentic refinements—has shifted trader focus toward a potential direct leap to Gemini 4 in October. Rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and its cybersecurity variant, underscores DeepMind's emphasis on frequent, cost-efficient updates while the frontier Pro tier lags. This dynamic, coupled with confirmed pre-training on a more ambitious next-generation model and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities in mid-to-late October windows. Key catalysts ahead include any official confirmation at earnings or developer events, though historical timeline slips remain a factor in the closely contested odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOctober 12–October 18 22%
September 28–October 4 14.0%
October 26–November 1 11.3%
October 5–October 11 10.7%
$48,041 Vol.
$48,041 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
September 14–September 20
4%
September 21–September 27
8%
September 28–October 4
14%
October 5–October 11
11%
October 12–October 18
22%
October 19–October 25
9%
October 26–November 1
11%
No release by November 1
10%
October 12–October 18 22%
September 28–October 4 14.0%
October 26–November 1 11.3%
October 5–October 11 10.7%
$48,041 Vol.
$48,041 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
September 14–September 20
$412 Vol.
4%
September 21–September 27
$549 Vol.
8%
September 28–October 4
$628 Vol.
14%
October 5–October 11
$422 Vol.
11%
October 12–October 18
$2,580 Vol.
22%
October 19–October 25
$438 Vol.
9%
October 26–November 1
$558 Vol.
11%
No release by November 1
$39,456 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's prolonged delay of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O and pushed back for coding and agentic refinements—has shifted trader focus toward a potential direct leap to Gemini 4 in October. Rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and its cybersecurity variant, underscores DeepMind's emphasis on frequent, cost-efficient updates while the frontier Pro tier lags. This dynamic, coupled with confirmed pre-training on a more ambitious next-generation model and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities in mid-to-late October windows. Key catalysts ahead include any official confirmation at earnings or developer events, though historical timeline slips remain a factor in the closely contested odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$48,041শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's prolonged delay of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O and pushed back for coding and agentic refinements—has shifted trader focus toward a potential direct leap to Gemini 4 in October. Rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and its cybersecurity variant, underscores DeepMind's emphasis on frequent, cost-efficient updates while the frontier Pro tier lags. This dynamic, coupled with confirmed pre-training on a more ambitious next-generation model and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities in mid-to-late October windows. Key catalysts ahead include any official confirmation at earnings or developer events, though historical timeline slips remain a factor in the closely contested odds.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$48,041শেষ তারিখ
Nov 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Google's prolonged delay of the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after I/O and pushed back for coding and agentic refinements—has shifted trader focus toward a potential direct leap to Gemini 4 in October. Rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and its cybersecurity variant, underscores DeepMind's emphasis on frequent, cost-efficient updates while the frontier Pro tier lags. This dynamic, coupled with confirmed pre-training on a more ambitious next-generation model and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, supports the market's clustering of implied probabilities in mid-to-late October windows. Key catalysts ahead include any official confirmation at earnings or developer events, though historical timeline slips remain a factor in the closely contested odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা