The closely matched probabilities around mid-September for a Grok 4.7 or higher release reflect xAI’s aggressive development cadence and recent signals from leadership on scaling large language models. Traders see strong momentum from ongoing training runs, hardware expansions, and competitive pressure against OpenAI and Anthropic releases, with the September 15–16 cluster capturing the consensus window before potential slippage. Low odds on a no-release outcome by month-end underscore expectations of an imminent launch, while earlier dates carry less weight due to typical final testing and deployment timelines. Key swing factors include any last-minute benchmark results or executive updates that could shift the exact window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSeptember 18 41%
September 17 40.5%
September 15 40.4%
September 16 37.9%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
1%
September 11
25%
September 12
36%
September 13
1%
September 14
36%
September 15
40%
September 16
38%
September 17
40%
September 18
41%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
1%
September 22
3%
September 23
6%
September 24
3%
September 25
1%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
3%
September 29
23%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
7%
September 18 41%
September 17 40.5%
September 15 40.4%
September 16 37.9%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 10, 2026
September 10
$202 Vol.
1%
September 11
$308 Vol.
25%
September 12
$550 Vol.
36%
September 13
$322 Vol.
1%
September 14
$205 Vol.
36%
September 15
$257 Vol.
40%
September 16
$215 Vol.
38%
September 17
$215 Vol.
40%
September 18
$411 Vol.
41%
September 19
$530 Vol.
1%
September 20
$505 Vol.
1%
September 21
$505 Vol.
1%
September 22
$345 Vol.
3%
September 23
$572 Vol.
6%
September 24
$345 Vol.
3%
September 25
$505 Vol.
1%
September 26
$505 Vol.
<1%
September 27
$505 Vol.
<1%
September 28
$379 Vol.
3%
September 29
$379 Vol.
23%
September 30
$505 Vol.
1%
No release by September 30
$345 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched probabilities around mid-September for a Grok 4.7 or higher release reflect xAI’s aggressive development cadence and recent signals from leadership on scaling large language models. Traders see strong momentum from ongoing training runs, hardware expansions, and competitive pressure against OpenAI and Anthropic releases, with the September 15–16 cluster capturing the consensus window before potential slippage. Low odds on a no-release outcome by month-end underscore expectations of an imminent launch, while earlier dates carry less weight due to typical final testing and deployment timelines. Key swing factors include any last-minute benchmark results or executive updates that could shift the exact window.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,777শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.The closely matched probabilities around mid-September for a Grok 4.7 or higher release reflect xAI’s aggressive development cadence and recent signals from leadership on scaling large language models. Traders see strong momentum from ongoing training runs, hardware expansions, and competitive pressure against OpenAI and Anthropic releases, with the September 15–16 cluster capturing the consensus window before potential slippage. Low odds on a no-release outcome by month-end underscore expectations of an imminent launch, while earlier dates carry less weight due to typical final testing and deployment timelines. Key swing factors include any last-minute benchmark results or executive updates that could shift the exact window.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$8,777শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around mid-September for a Grok 4.7 or higher release reflect xAI’s aggressive development cadence and recent signals from leadership on scaling large language models. Traders see strong momentum from ongoing training runs, hardware expansions, and competitive pressure against OpenAI and Anthropic releases, with the September 15–16 cluster capturing the consensus window before potential slippage. Low odds on a no-release outcome by month-end underscore expectations of an imminent launch, while earlier dates carry less weight due to typical final testing and deployment timelines. Key swing factors include any last-minute benchmark results or executive updates that could shift the exact window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা