**Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s September 20 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced around 14–18 °C because official forecasts and real-time observations show a narrow range of possible overnight minima under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Current data from multiple meteorological services indicate the night will stay mild, with lows forecast near 18–19 °C (roughly 65–66 °F) amid widespread cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These factors keep temperatures elevated compared with clearer, calmer nights that could drop into the mid-teens. Model consensus and recent observations support this warmer outcome, yet slight differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and wind strength create enough uncertainty for lower outcomes (14–15 °C or below) to retain nearly equal implied probability. The market’s near-even split therefore reflects genuine forecast variability rather than divergent fundamentals: traders weigh the insulating effect of persistent cloud and moisture against any late-night clearing or subtle advection of cooler air. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary Sao Paulo station once the night concludes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 20?
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
13°C or below 99%
16°C 2%
$713 Vol.
$713 Vol.
13°C or below
99%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
13°C or below 99%
16°C 2%
$713 Vol.
$713 Vol.
13°C or below
99%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s September 20 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced around 14–18 °C because official forecasts and real-time observations show a narrow range of possible overnight minima under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Current data from multiple meteorological services indicate the night will stay mild, with lows forecast near 18–19 °C (roughly 65–66 °F) amid widespread cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These factors keep temperatures elevated compared with clearer, calmer nights that could drop into the mid-teens. Model consensus and recent observations support this warmer outcome, yet slight differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, and wind strength create enough uncertainty for lower outcomes (14–15 °C or below) to retain nearly equal implied probability. The market’s near-even split therefore reflects genuine forecast variability rather than divergent fundamentals: traders weigh the insulating effect of persistent cloud and moisture against any late-night clearing or subtle advection of cooler air. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary Sao Paulo station once the night concludes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা