Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around that threshold and the balanced 45% probability on 16°C or below versus 42% on 26°C or higher. These outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the diurnal minimum by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology places typical lows near 17–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average, yet short-range predictability remains high with limited spread expected in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
26°C or higher 82%
16°C or below 79%
18°C 40%
23°C 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
79%
17°C
19%
18°C
40%
19°C
22%
20°C
25%
21°C
27%
22°C
24%
23°C
40%
24°C
18%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
82%
26°C or higher 82%
16°C or below 79%
18°C 40%
23°C 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
79%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around that threshold and the balanced 45% probability on 16°C or below versus 42% on 26°C or higher. These outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the diurnal minimum by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology places typical lows near 17–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average, yet short-range predictability remains high with limited spread expected in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around that threshold and the balanced 45% probability on 16°C or below versus 42% on 26°C or higher. These outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the diurnal minimum by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology places typical lows near 17–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average, yet short-range predictability remains high with limited spread expected in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows near 20°C in Istanbul on September 11 under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around that threshold and the balanced 45% probability on 16°C or below versus 42% on 26°C or higher. These outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, dew point depression, and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter the diurnal minimum by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology places typical lows near 17–19°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average, yet short-range predictability remains high with limited spread expected in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা