Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Bost (R)
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
2%
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Bost (R)
$14,014 Vol.
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
$11,132 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$25,146শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$25,146শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and unopposed primary victory in March 2026. The southern Illinois district, encompassing rural counties and areas like Carbondale and O'Fallon, delivered Bost a 74% win in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify it as Safe or Solid Republican. Bost's substantial fundraising edge—over $1.1 million raised versus under $41,000 for Democratic nominee Julie Fortier—further reinforces the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though historical patterns and structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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