Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate Moscow will experience a shift to cooler westerly flow and increased cloud cover with showers on September 11, capping daytime heating after a warmer period around September 10. This pattern supports a maximum temperature centered near the long-term average high of approximately 17°C for that date, consistent with the market’s leading 47% implied probability for 17°C and substantial backing for 16–18°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 19°C or higher, while the risk of more pronounced cooling remains low given current steering patterns and seasonal norms. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
17°C 48%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
48%
18°C
28%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 48%
18°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
12°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$152 Vol.
1%
14°C
$62 Vol.
2%
15°C
$152 Vol.
4%
16°C
$193 Vol.
16%
17°C
$588 Vol.
48%
18°C
$150 Vol.
28%
19°C
$52 Vol.
5%
20°C
$26 Vol.
3%
21°C
$45 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate Moscow will experience a shift to cooler westerly flow and increased cloud cover with showers on September 11, capping daytime heating after a warmer period around September 10. This pattern supports a maximum temperature centered near the long-term average high of approximately 17°C for that date, consistent with the market’s leading 47% implied probability for 17°C and substantial backing for 16–18°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 19°C or higher, while the risk of more pronounced cooling remains low given current steering patterns and seasonal norms. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,852শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate Moscow will experience a shift to cooler westerly flow and increased cloud cover with showers on September 11, capping daytime heating after a warmer period around September 10. This pattern supports a maximum temperature centered near the long-term average high of approximately 17°C for that date, consistent with the market’s leading 47% implied probability for 17°C and substantial backing for 16–18°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 19°C or higher, while the risk of more pronounced cooling remains low given current steering patterns and seasonal norms. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,852শেষ তারিখ
Sep 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Roshydromet guidance, indicate Moscow will experience a shift to cooler westerly flow and increased cloud cover with showers on September 11, capping daytime heating after a warmer period around September 10. This pattern supports a maximum temperature centered near the long-term average high of approximately 17°C for that date, consistent with the market’s leading 47% implied probability for 17°C and substantial backing for 16–18°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger ridging or clearer skies that could push readings to 19°C or higher, while the risk of more pronounced cooling remains low given current steering patterns and seasonal norms. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা