Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorology and international models indicate a daytime high near 22–23°C in Ankara on September 26 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies, with light easterly winds and surface pressures around 1016–1019 hPa limiting daytime heating. This consensus, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover allowing moderate solar insolation, underpins the market-implied probability exceeding 80% for 21–23°C outcomes. Historical late-September climatology for the region shows average highs near 24°C, so current cooler-than-normal steering patterns and dry conditions have tempered trader expectations. New model runs and the final 24-hour observational window before resolution will determine whether minor forecast adjustments shift the peak temperature.