Gil Cisneros, the Democratic incumbent in California's 31st congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61% of the vote against Republican Eric Ching's 24%. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and favored Democrats by double digits in recent presidential and statewide contests. Cisneros benefits from established name recognition after winning the open seat in 2024, along with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $565,000 compared to Ching's under $70,000. Independent race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for Cisneros reflects these structural and resource advantages, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
$18,210 Vol.
$18,210 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Gil Cisneros (D)
96%
Eric Ching (R)
5%
$18,210 Vol.
$18,210 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Gil Cisneros (D)
$8,029 Vol.
96%
Eric Ching (R)
$10,181 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gil Cisneros, the Democratic incumbent in California's 31st congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61% of the vote against Republican Eric Ching's 24%. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and favored Democrats by double digits in recent presidential and statewide contests. Cisneros benefits from established name recognition after winning the open seat in 2024, along with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $565,000 compared to Ching's under $70,000. Independent race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for Cisneros reflects these structural and resource advantages, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ভলিউম
$18,210শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gil Cisneros, the Democratic incumbent in California's 31st congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61% of the vote against Republican Eric Ching's 24%. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and favored Democrats by double digits in recent presidential and statewide contests. Cisneros benefits from established name recognition after winning the open seat in 2024, along with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $565,000 compared to Ching's under $70,000. Independent race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for Cisneros reflects these structural and resource advantages, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$18,210শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Gil Cisneros, the Democratic incumbent in California's 31st congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61% of the vote against Republican Eric Ching's 24%. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and favored Democrats by double digits in recent presidential and statewide contests. Cisneros benefits from established name recognition after winning the open seat in 2024, along with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $565,000 compared to Ching's under $70,000. Independent race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95% for Cisneros reflects these structural and resource advantages, though an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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