balthazar

Joined Jan 2025·32.0K views

$360.3K

Positions Value

$80.6K

Biggest Win

68,462

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$20,531.80

Past Day

Current

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 76.1¢

14,916.4 shares

76.1¢

85¢

$12,671.47$1,320.85 (11.64%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 76.1¢

14,916.4 shares

$12,671.47$1,320.85 (11.64%)

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Yes 92.4¢

7,786.5 shares

92.4¢

97.8¢

$7,615.18$421.80 (5.86%)

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Yes 92.4¢

7,786.5 shares

$7,615.18$421.80 (5.86%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

Yes 65.3¢

7,463.5 shares

65.3¢

90¢

$6,717.19$1,846.39 (37.91%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

Yes 65.3¢

7,463.5 shares

$6,717.19$1,846.39 (37.91%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

6,540.0 shares

79.8¢

92.5¢

$6,046.21$825.01 (15.8%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

6,540.0 shares

$6,046.21$825.01 (15.8%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?

Yes 47.9¢

10,085.8 shares

47.9¢

59¢

$5,950.65$1,121.09 (23.21%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?

Yes 47.9¢

10,085.8 shares

$5,950.65$1,121.09 (23.21%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

No 65.4¢

7,169.2 shares

65.4¢

73¢

$5,233.50$541.45 (11.54%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

No 65.4¢

7,169.2 shares

$5,233.50$541.45 (11.54%)

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes 54.8¢

7,671.7 shares

54.8¢

62.5¢

$4,794.79$587.54 (13.97%)

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes 54.8¢

7,671.7 shares

$4,794.79$587.54 (13.97%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

No 50.4¢

10,098.1 shares

50.4¢

40.5¢

$4,089.73-$1,002.92 (-19.69%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

No 50.4¢

10,098.1 shares

$4,089.73-$1,002.92 (-19.69%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 41.5¢

7,675.4 shares

41.5¢

34.5¢

$2,648.02-$534.66 (-16.8%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 41.5¢

7,675.4 shares

$2,648.02-$534.66 (-16.8%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 shares

64.5¢

90.5¢

$2,479.58$711.02 (40.2%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 shares

$2,479.58$711.02 (40.2%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 90¢

2,276.3 shares

90¢

92¢

$2,094.23$45.53 (2.22%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 90¢

2,276.3 shares

$2,094.23$45.53 (2.22%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 21.7¢

15,414.1 shares

21.7¢

13.5¢

$2,080.90-$1,262.69 (-37.76%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 21.7¢

15,414.1 shares

$2,080.90-$1,262.69 (-37.76%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Yes 66.2¢

2,399.2 shares

66.2¢

85.5¢

$2,051.28$461.98 (29.07%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Yes 66.2¢

2,399.2 shares

$2,051.28$461.98 (29.07%)

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 10?

Yes 10.3¢

2,567.4 shares

10.3¢

79.5¢

$2,041.07$1,777.83 (675.36%)

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 10?

Yes 10.3¢

2,567.4 shares

$2,041.07$1,777.83 (675.36%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 shares

90.8¢

78.5¢

$1,960.49-$307.17 (-13.55%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 shares

$1,960.49-$307.17 (-13.55%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 95.2¢

2,046.3 shares

95.2¢

93.7¢

$1,917.42-$30.90 (-1.59%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 95.2¢

2,046.3 shares

$1,917.42-$30.90 (-1.59%)

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 54.3¢

2,000.0 shares

54.3¢

92.5¢

$1,850.00$765.00 (70.51%)

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 54.3¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,850.00$765.00 (70.51%)

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?

No 78.3¢

1,887.9 shares

78.3¢

94¢

$1,773.68$294.53 (19.91%)

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?

No 78.3¢

1,887.9 shares

$1,773.68$294.53 (19.91%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 2.9¢

2,103.3 shares

2.9¢

75¢

$1,577.47$1,515.61 (2,450.07%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 2.9¢

2,103.3 shares

$1,577.47$1,515.61 (2,450.07%)

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes 3¢

1,600.0 shares

3¢

97¢

$1,551.20$1,502.72 (3,099.35%)

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes 3¢

1,600.0 shares

$1,551.20$1,502.72 (3,099.35%)