Skip to main content

如需在美国交易,请访问 polymarket.us

icon for 特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?

特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?

icon for 特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?

特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?

$626,289 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$626,289 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$123,261 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's public openness to engagement with Iranian officials centers on President Masoud Pezeshkian rather than Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei.** Recent statements from the US president highlight three policy options toward Iran—military action, economic pressure, or a deal—while expressing conditional willingness for talks at the UN General Assembly. Iranian diplomats and advisers to Khamenei have consistently described any direct Trump-Khamenei meeting as unrealistic, emphasizing lower-level negotiations, asset releases, and confidence-building steps instead. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding between the presidents collapsed amid renewed hostilities and violations, leaving bilateral communication focused on mediators and working-level channels. No verified direct verbal or in-person contact between Trump and Khamenei has occurred, and structural barriers, including Khamenei's limited public role and Iranian rejection of high-level personal diplomacy, continue to shape low implied probabilities in related markets. Scheduled diplomatic windows such as the UNGA session remain the primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$626,289
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's public openness to engagement with Iranian officials centers on President Masoud Pezeshkian rather than Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei.** Recent statements from the US president highlight three policy options toward Iran—military action, economic pressure, or a deal—while expressing conditional willingness for talks at the UN General Assembly. Iranian diplomats and advisers to Khamenei have consistently described any direct Trump-Khamenei meeting as unrealistic, emphasizing lower-level negotiations, asset releases, and confidence-building steps instead. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding between the presidents collapsed amid renewed hostilities and violations, leaving bilateral communication focused on mediators and working-level channels. No verified direct verbal or in-person contact between Trump and Khamenei has occurred, and structural barriers, including Khamenei's limited public role and Iranian rejection of high-level personal diplomacy, continue to shape low implied probabilities in related markets. Scheduled diplomatic windows such as the UNGA session remain the primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$626,289
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 4%,其次是"3月31日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 4¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"已产生 $626.3K 的总交易量(自Mar 10, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",仅有 4%,"3月31日"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在...之前与Mojtaba Khamenei交谈?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。