Early positioning for the 2028 presidential race centers on male frontrunners, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican primary polling averages near 40 percent and prediction markets, ahead of figures such as Marco Rubio. On the Democratic side, national surveys show Kamala Harris ahead in some head-to-head tests, yet prediction markets favor male contenders including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A July 2026 Pew survey found 37 percent of Americans now view electing a woman president in their lifetime as unlikely, up from 26 percent in 2023, amid assessments of general-election viability following consecutive cycles with female nominees. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 72.5 percent price on No. Midterm outcomes and formal candidate entries could alter the field ahead of the November 2028 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
15% 概率
$13,838 交易量
$13,838 交易量
2028-11-06
是
15% 概率
$13,838 交易量
$13,838 交易量
2028-11-06
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early positioning for the 2028 presidential race centers on male frontrunners, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican primary polling averages near 40 percent and prediction markets, ahead of figures such as Marco Rubio. On the Democratic side, national surveys show Kamala Harris ahead in some head-to-head tests, yet prediction markets favor male contenders including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A July 2026 Pew survey found 37 percent of Americans now view electing a woman president in their lifetime as unlikely, up from 26 percent in 2023, amid assessments of general-election viability following consecutive cycles with female nominees. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 72.5 percent price on No. Midterm outcomes and formal candidate entries could alter the field ahead of the November 2028 vote.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
交易量
$13,838结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETThe 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early positioning for the 2028 presidential race centers on male frontrunners, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican primary polling averages near 40 percent and prediction markets, ahead of figures such as Marco Rubio. On the Democratic side, national surveys show Kamala Harris ahead in some head-to-head tests, yet prediction markets favor male contenders including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A July 2026 Pew survey found 37 percent of Americans now view electing a woman president in their lifetime as unlikely, up from 26 percent in 2023, amid assessments of general-election viability following consecutive cycles with female nominees. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 72.5 percent price on No. Midterm outcomes and formal candidate entries could alter the field ahead of the November 2028 vote.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$13,838结束日期
2028-11-07市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETEarly positioning for the 2028 presidential race centers on male frontrunners, with Vice President JD Vance leading Republican primary polling averages near 40 percent and prediction markets, ahead of figures such as Marco Rubio. On the Democratic side, national surveys show Kamala Harris ahead in some head-to-head tests, yet prediction markets favor male contenders including Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A July 2026 Pew survey found 37 percent of Americans now view electing a woman president in their lifetime as unlikely, up from 26 percent in 2023, amid assessments of general-election viability following consecutive cycles with female nominees. These patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 72.5 percent price on No. Midterm outcomes and formal candidate entries could alter the field ahead of the November 2028 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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