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icon for 蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?

蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?

icon for 蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?

蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?

77% 概率
Polymarket
最新
77% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The Mongolz's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The Mongolz" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, 910, DarkMeister, tikuak. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MongolZ CS2 roster has shown ongoing instability after July 2026 moves that benched cobrazera, sent mzinho to BC.Game, and promoted academy prospects tikuak and DarkMeister alongside core players bLitz, Techno, and 910. Recent form has slipped, with the team falling to 18th-19th in Valve Regional Standings amid early exits and inconsistent results in tier-one events. The September 2026 lineup tweak for FISSURE Playground 3, temporarily restoring cobrazera while sitting Techno, underscores active experimentation with roles and integration of younger talent. In the CS2 scene, organizations routinely adjust lineups ahead of major qualification cycles or after performance dips, supporting trader consensus around a high likelihood of at least one further starter-level change by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The Mongolz's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The Mongolz" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, 910, DarkMeister, tikuak. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The Mongolz's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The Mongolz" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, 910, DarkMeister, tikuak. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$403
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The Mongolz's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The Mongolz" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, 910, DarkMeister, tikuak. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MongolZ CS2 roster has shown ongoing instability after July 2026 moves that benched cobrazera, sent mzinho to BC.Game, and promoted academy prospects tikuak and DarkMeister alongside core players bLitz, Techno, and 910. Recent form has slipped, with the team falling to 18th-19th in Valve Regional Standings amid early exits and inconsistent results in tier-one events. The September 2026 lineup tweak for FISSURE Playground 3, temporarily restoring cobrazera while sitting Techno, underscores active experimentation with roles and integration of younger talent. In the CS2 scene, organizations routinely adjust lineups ahead of major qualification cycles or after performance dips, supporting trader consensus around a high likelihood of at least one further starter-level change by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The Mongolz's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The Mongolz" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, 910, DarkMeister, tikuak. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The Mongolz's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The Mongolz" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, 910, DarkMeister, tikuak. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$403
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

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常见问题

"蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 78%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 78¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 78%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 28, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?"的当前概率为 78%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 78%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"蒙古人是否会在12月31日前更改名册?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。