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icon for 任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?

任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?

icon for 任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?

任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?

最新
2026-09-20
Polymarket

$3,131 交易量

Polymarket

9月20日

$677 交易量

1%

9月30日

$1,894 交易量

16%

10月31日

$560 交易量

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Current U.S. retail gasoline prices remain elevated, with the national average for regular unleaded near $4.48 per gallon as of the week ending September 21, 2026, according to EIA data, reflecting a roughly 40% year-over-year increase. The lowest state-level averages, such as Texas at approximately $3.93 and select Gulf Coast states near $3.97, sit well above the $3.75 threshold, while California exceeds $6.00. Primary drivers include elevated crude oil benchmarks near $91 per barrel amid Middle East supply disruptions, historically low global inventories, and constrained refining capacity that has sustained wide crack spreads. Seasonal demand moderation into fall and potential inventory builds could influence near-term movements, though persistent geopolitical risks and limited spare capacity continue to support higher price levels across regions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
交易量
$3,131
结束日期
2026-11-01
市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Current U.S. retail gasoline prices remain elevated, with the national average for regular unleaded near $4.48 per gallon as of the week ending September 21, 2026, according to EIA data, reflecting a roughly 40% year-over-year increase. The lowest state-level averages, such as Texas at approximately $3.93 and select Gulf Coast states near $3.97, sit well above the $3.75 threshold, while California exceeds $6.00. Primary drivers include elevated crude oil benchmarks near $91 per barrel amid Middle East supply disruptions, historically low global inventories, and constrained refining capacity that has sustained wide crack spreads. Seasonal demand moderation into fall and potential inventory builds could influence near-term movements, though persistent geopolitical risks and limited spare capacity continue to support higher price levels across regions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
交易量
$3,131
结束日期
2026-11-01
市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

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常见问题

"任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"10月31日",概率为 54%,其次是"9月30日",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?"的当前领先者是"10月31日",概率为 54%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"9月30日",概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"任何州的汽油价格会低于$ 3.75吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。