Andy Burnham, who became UK prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election and pledged to honor the 2024 Labour manifesto through the full term. This stance, combined with focus on the autumn budget and social care reforms amid tight finances, has kept trader-implied odds for a call by late 2026 very low. Reform UK’s poll strength and calls for an immediate vote create some uncertainty, yet the prime minister’s parliamentary majority and public statements reduce near-term likelihood. The next election must occur by August 2029 at latest, with any earlier timing depending on shifts in economic data, by-election results, or internal Labour dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于英国大选由...召集？
英国大选由...召集？
$823,769 交易量
2026-12-31
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
33%
$823,769 交易量
December 31, 2026
$27,291 交易量
11%
June 30, 2027
$5,329 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, who became UK prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election and pledged to honor the 2024 Labour manifesto through the full term. This stance, combined with focus on the autumn budget and social care reforms amid tight finances, has kept trader-implied odds for a call by late 2026 very low. Reform UK’s poll strength and calls for an immediate vote create some uncertainty, yet the prime minister’s parliamentary majority and public statements reduce near-term likelihood. The next election must occur by August 2029 at latest, with any earlier timing depending on shifts in economic data, by-election results, or internal Labour dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$823,769结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, who became UK prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election and pledged to honor the 2024 Labour manifesto through the full term. This stance, combined with focus on the autumn budget and social care reforms amid tight finances, has kept trader-implied odds for a call by late 2026 very low. Reform UK’s poll strength and calls for an immediate vote create some uncertainty, yet the prime minister’s parliamentary majority and public statements reduce near-term likelihood. The next election must occur by August 2029 at latest, with any earlier timing depending on shifts in economic data, by-election results, or internal Labour dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$823,769结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETAndy Burnham, who became UK prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, has repeatedly ruled out a snap general election and pledged to honor the 2024 Labour manifesto through the full term. This stance, combined with focus on the autumn budget and social care reforms amid tight finances, has kept trader-implied odds for a call by late 2026 very low. Reform UK’s poll strength and calls for an immediate vote create some uncertainty, yet the prime minister’s parliamentary majority and public statements reduce near-term likelihood. The next election must occur by August 2029 at latest, with any earlier timing depending on shifts in economic data, by-election results, or internal Labour dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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