The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record stands at 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, with only two other quarterbacks (Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady) reaching 50. Entering the 2026 season, leading projections for top passers such as Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Matthew Stafford center around 30-35 passing touchdowns, well below the mark even in a 17-game schedule. Recent seasons have seen league leaders top out at 46 (Stafford in 2025) amid balanced offensive schemes, defensive adjustments, and injury considerations that limit volume. Early 2026 results and historical trends reinforce trader consensus that no quarterback will approach the required efficiency and opportunity, keeping the probability of breaking the record low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于20% 概率
最新
最新
2027-01-26
20% 概率
最新
最新
2027-01-26
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record stands at 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, with only two other quarterbacks (Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady) reaching 50. Entering the 2026 season, leading projections for top passers such as Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Matthew Stafford center around 30-35 passing touchdowns, well below the mark even in a 17-game schedule. Recent seasons have seen league leaders top out at 46 (Stafford in 2025) amid balanced offensive schemes, defensive adjustments, and injury considerations that limit volume. Early 2026 results and historical trends reinforce trader consensus that no quarterback will approach the required efficiency and opportunity, keeping the probability of breaking the record low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record stands at 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, with only two other quarterbacks (Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady) reaching 50. Entering the 2026 season, leading projections for top passers such as Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Matthew Stafford center around 30-35 passing touchdowns, well below the mark even in a 17-game schedule. Recent seasons have seen league leaders top out at 46 (Stafford in 2025) amid balanced offensive schemes, defensive adjustments, and injury considerations that limit volume. Early 2026 results and historical trends reinforce trader consensus that no quarterback will approach the required efficiency and opportunity, keeping the probability of breaking the record low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 55 passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETThe NFL single-season passing touchdowns record stands at 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, with only two other quarterbacks (Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady) reaching 50. Entering the 2026 season, leading projections for top passers such as Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Matthew Stafford center around 30-35 passing touchdowns, well below the mark even in a 17-game schedule. Recent seasons have seen league leaders top out at 46 (Stafford in 2025) amid balanced offensive schemes, defensive adjustments, and injury considerations that limit volume. Early 2026 results and historical trends reinforce trader consensus that no quarterback will approach the required efficiency and opportunity, keeping the probability of breaking the record low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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