**Pedro Sánchez’s minority government faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and allies, combined with criticism over the July 2026 Ceuta migrant influx that left thousands in the enclave into September.** Lost support from Junts since late 2025 has eliminated its parliamentary majority, forcing reliance on a reconducted 2023 budget and complicating new legislation. A June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution urging resignation passed narrowly but carried no legal force, and opposition parties lack votes for a successful no-confidence motion. Sánchez has rejected snap elections, citing economic growth metrics and vowing to reach the 2027 general election deadline. Recent polls show PSOE trailing a potential PP-Vox majority while the left remains fragmented. Key variables for any early exit include budget negotiations, further judicial developments, or shifts among remaining parliamentary partners before the scheduled vote.