**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, supporting trader consensus favoring "No" at roughly 58-68% implied probability.** Only 21 players have achieved the feat in MLB history, with the most recent instances coming in 2025 (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber). No batter has reached even three home runs in a single contest this year despite multi-homer outbursts from stars like Aaron Judge, Yordan Alvarez, and others, and team totals occasionally spiking to five homers in a game. Factors include deeper bullpens, strong starting rotations, and matchup-specific pitching that limit extreme power displays. With the regular season ending in early October and no late surges reported, the window for such a rare event has narrowed significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于41% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-11
41% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-11
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, supporting trader consensus favoring "No" at roughly 58-68% implied probability.** Only 21 players have achieved the feat in MLB history, with the most recent instances coming in 2025 (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber). No batter has reached even three home runs in a single contest this year despite multi-homer outbursts from stars like Aaron Judge, Yordan Alvarez, and others, and team totals occasionally spiking to five homers in a game. Factors include deeper bullpens, strong starting rotations, and matchup-specific pitching that limit extreme power displays. With the regular season ending in early October and no late surges reported, the window for such a rare event has narrowed significantly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
交易量
$7,348结束日期
2026-10-12市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, supporting trader consensus favoring "No" at roughly 58-68% implied probability.** Only 21 players have achieved the feat in MLB history, with the most recent instances coming in 2025 (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber). No batter has reached even three home runs in a single contest this year despite multi-homer outbursts from stars like Aaron Judge, Yordan Alvarez, and others, and team totals occasionally spiking to five homers in a game. Factors include deeper bullpens, strong starting rotations, and matchup-specific pitching that limit extreme power displays. With the regular season ending in early October and no late surges reported, the window for such a rare event has narrowed significantly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,348结束日期
2026-10-12市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET**No 4-homer game has occurred in the 2026 MLB regular season through late September, supporting trader consensus favoring "No" at roughly 58-68% implied probability.** Only 21 players have achieved the feat in MLB history, with the most recent instances coming in 2025 (Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber). No batter has reached even three home runs in a single contest this year despite multi-homer outbursts from stars like Aaron Judge, Yordan Alvarez, and others, and team totals occasionally spiking to five homers in a game. Factors include deeper bullpens, strong starting rotations, and matchup-specific pitching that limit extreme power displays. With the regular season ending in early October and no late surges reported, the window for such a rare event has narrowed significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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