Japan’s Ministry of Defense and Cabinet have maintained a cautious stance on UAP information, with Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stating in May 2026 that any release of domestic files would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release timeline exists through year-end. While a cross-party parliamentary group has proposed centralized Cabinet-level coordination and reviewed U.S. PURSUE batches containing regional sightings, these steps have not produced declassified Japanese records. Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed policy shifts or official announcements indicating imminent action before December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7% 概率
$12,802 交易量
$12,802 交易量
2026-12-31
7% 概率
$12,802 交易量
$12,802 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan’s Ministry of Defense and Cabinet have maintained a cautious stance on UAP information, with Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stating in May 2026 that any release of domestic files would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release timeline exists through year-end. While a cross-party parliamentary group has proposed centralized Cabinet-level coordination and reviewed U.S. PURSUE batches containing regional sightings, these steps have not produced declassified Japanese records. Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed policy shifts or official announcements indicating imminent action before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
交易量
$12,802结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan’s Ministry of Defense and Cabinet have maintained a cautious stance on UAP information, with Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stating in May 2026 that any release of domestic files would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release timeline exists through year-end. While a cross-party parliamentary group has proposed centralized Cabinet-level coordination and reviewed U.S. PURSUE batches containing regional sightings, these steps have not produced declassified Japanese records. Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed policy shifts or official announcements indicating imminent action before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$12,802结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETJapan’s Ministry of Defense and Cabinet have maintained a cautious stance on UAP information, with Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stating in May 2026 that any release of domestic files would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence capabilities. No national disclosure program, legislative mandate, or scheduled release timeline exists through year-end. While a cross-party parliamentary group has proposed centralized Cabinet-level coordination and reviewed U.S. PURSUE batches containing regional sightings, these steps have not produced declassified Japanese records. Trader consensus at 93% for “No” aligns with the absence of confirmed policy shifts or official announcements indicating imminent action before December 31, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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