**Valve's ongoing closed playtest for Deadlock continues to shape trader sentiment, with the Steam page still listing the title as an early-development build available only via friend invites and carrying a "to be announced" release date.** Recent minor balance patches, including the September 16 update that reworked comeback mechanics and hero tuning, reflect active iteration rather than preparation for a public launch. Valve developer comments point to a sizable content overhaul expected no earlier than late September 2026, yet this targets the existing test environment. The studio's track record of extended playtesting before any official rollout, combined with the limited window remaining in 2026, underpins the 74.5% implied probability that Deadlock will not see a full release before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include any Steam-page shifts or formal open-beta announcements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Valve會在2027年之前正式解鎖死鎖嗎？
Valve會在2027年之前正式解鎖死鎖嗎？
是
26% 機率
$23,329 交易量
$23,329 交易量
2026-12-31
是
26% 機率
$23,329 交易量
$23,329 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Valve's ongoing closed playtest for Deadlock continues to shape trader sentiment, with the Steam page still listing the title as an early-development build available only via friend invites and carrying a "to be announced" release date.** Recent minor balance patches, including the September 16 update that reworked comeback mechanics and hero tuning, reflect active iteration rather than preparation for a public launch. Valve developer comments point to a sizable content overhaul expected no earlier than late September 2026, yet this targets the existing test environment. The studio's track record of extended playtesting before any official rollout, combined with the limited window remaining in 2026, underpins the 74.5% implied probability that Deadlock will not see a full release before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include any Steam-page shifts or formal open-beta announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$23,329結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 2:36 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Valve's ongoing closed playtest for Deadlock continues to shape trader sentiment, with the Steam page still listing the title as an early-development build available only via friend invites and carrying a "to be announced" release date.** Recent minor balance patches, including the September 16 update that reworked comeback mechanics and hero tuning, reflect active iteration rather than preparation for a public launch. Valve developer comments point to a sizable content overhaul expected no earlier than late September 2026, yet this targets the existing test environment. The studio's track record of extended playtesting before any official rollout, combined with the limited window remaining in 2026, underpins the 74.5% implied probability that Deadlock will not see a full release before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include any Steam-page shifts or formal open-beta announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,329結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 2:36 PM ET**Valve's ongoing closed playtest for Deadlock continues to shape trader sentiment, with the Steam page still listing the title as an early-development build available only via friend invites and carrying a "to be announced" release date.** Recent minor balance patches, including the September 16 update that reworked comeback mechanics and hero tuning, reflect active iteration rather than preparation for a public launch. Valve developer comments point to a sizable content overhaul expected no earlier than late September 2026, yet this targets the existing test environment. The studio's track record of extended playtesting before any official rollout, combined with the limited window remaining in 2026, underpins the 74.5% implied probability that Deadlock will not see a full release before 2027. Key near-term catalysts include any Steam-page shifts or formal open-beta announcements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions