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icon for 阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?

阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?

icon for 阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?

阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?

$45,958 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$45,958 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 2026年12月31日

2026年12月31日

$16,291 交易量

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.**President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction to around 33% annually, reserve accumulation above $47 billion, and a managed floating peso within inflation-adjusted bands since lifting most capital controls in 2025, rather than advancing formal dollarization.** No legislative or executive measures to replace the peso with the U.S. dollar as legal tender or establish an official peg have moved forward through mid-2026. Recent steps include a July 2026 central bank charter reform bill limiting government financing, eased dollar-lending rules to channel deposits into credit, and ongoing IMF-supported programs that favor gradual liberalization and reserve building over abrupt regime change. Traders assign low implied probability to completion by late 2026 because the policy focus remains on stabilization, commodity-driven dollar inflows, and institutional reforms ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, with private dollar holdings and stablecoin use already widespread but not translating into official adoption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
交易量
$45,958
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.**President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized fiscal surpluses, inflation reduction to around 33% annually, reserve accumulation above $47 billion, and a managed floating peso within inflation-adjusted bands since lifting most capital controls in 2025, rather than advancing formal dollarization.** No legislative or executive measures to replace the peso with the U.S. dollar as legal tender or establish an official peg have moved forward through mid-2026. Recent steps include a July 2026 central bank charter reform bill limiting government financing, eased dollar-lending rules to channel deposits into credit, and ongoing IMF-supported programs that favor gradual liberalization and reserve building over abrupt regime change. Traders assign low implied probability to completion by late 2026 because the policy focus remains on stabilization, commodity-driven dollar inflows, and institutional reforms ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, with private dollar holdings and stablecoin use already widespread but not translating into official adoption.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
交易量
$45,958
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 5%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?" has generated $46K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?" is "2026年12月31日" at just 5%, with "2026年6月30日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "阿根廷會在…前美元化嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.