The UK’s Autumn Budget, scheduled for October 28 under Chancellor John Healey, faces constrained headroom after higher borrowing costs and defence commitments reduced the fiscal buffer from roughly £23.6 billion to £8.5 billion. Traders are pricing in targeted revenue measures—potentially including property-tax adjustments or other non-manifesto taxes—while the government maintains pledges against rises in income tax, National Insurance, VAT, or corporation tax rates. Recent data on inflation, earnings, and public finances, plus the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast released alongside the statement, will shape final decisions. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the precise mix of spending reallocations, regional-growth initiatives, and any adjustments to thresholds or reliefs needed to meet fiscal rules amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-10-28
資本增值稅上調
55%
燃油稅上調
27%
土地價值稅
17%
財富稅
12%
$1,357 交易量
資本增值稅上調
$446 交易量
55%
燃油稅上調
$305 交易量
27%
土地價值稅
$156 交易量
17%
財富稅
$449 交易量
12%
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK’s Autumn Budget, scheduled for October 28 under Chancellor John Healey, faces constrained headroom after higher borrowing costs and defence commitments reduced the fiscal buffer from roughly £23.6 billion to £8.5 billion. Traders are pricing in targeted revenue measures—potentially including property-tax adjustments or other non-manifesto taxes—while the government maintains pledges against rises in income tax, National Insurance, VAT, or corporation tax rates. Recent data on inflation, earnings, and public finances, plus the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast released alongside the statement, will shape final decisions. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the precise mix of spending reallocations, regional-growth initiatives, and any adjustments to thresholds or reliefs needed to meet fiscal rules amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,357結束日期
2026-10-29市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETThe UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK’s Autumn Budget, scheduled for October 28 under Chancellor John Healey, faces constrained headroom after higher borrowing costs and defence commitments reduced the fiscal buffer from roughly £23.6 billion to £8.5 billion. Traders are pricing in targeted revenue measures—potentially including property-tax adjustments or other non-manifesto taxes—while the government maintains pledges against rises in income tax, National Insurance, VAT, or corporation tax rates. Recent data on inflation, earnings, and public finances, plus the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast released alongside the statement, will shape final decisions. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the precise mix of spending reallocations, regional-growth initiatives, and any adjustments to thresholds or reliefs needed to meet fiscal rules amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,357結束日期
2026-10-29市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETThe UK’s Autumn Budget, scheduled for October 28 under Chancellor John Healey, faces constrained headroom after higher borrowing costs and defence commitments reduced the fiscal buffer from roughly £23.6 billion to £8.5 billion. Traders are pricing in targeted revenue measures—potentially including property-tax adjustments or other non-manifesto taxes—while the government maintains pledges against rises in income tax, National Insurance, VAT, or corporation tax rates. Recent data on inflation, earnings, and public finances, plus the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast released alongside the statement, will shape final decisions. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over the precise mix of spending reallocations, regional-growth initiatives, and any adjustments to thresholds or reliefs needed to meet fiscal rules amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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