The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 8, 2026, ruling invalidated the constitutional amendment and associated congressional map after finding the Democratic-led legislature violated procedural requirements under Article XII by advancing the measure during an ongoing 2025 election period. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review in mid-May, and Governor Abigail Spanberger subsequently confirmed the 2026 House elections would proceed under the existing 2021 court-drawn districts. With primaries completed, candidate filings closed, and the November general election less than two months away, no viable legal or legislative pathway remains to implement new lines. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability against a new map. The only realistic shifts would require an unforeseen court reversal or extraordinary legislative action outside normal timelines, both viewed as negligible given exhausted appeals and fixed election calendars.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
3% 機率
$70,332 交易量
$70,332 交易量
2026-11-03
是
3% 機率
$70,332 交易量
$70,332 交易量
2026-11-03
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 8, 2026, ruling invalidated the constitutional amendment and associated congressional map after finding the Democratic-led legislature violated procedural requirements under Article XII by advancing the measure during an ongoing 2025 election period. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review in mid-May, and Governor Abigail Spanberger subsequently confirmed the 2026 House elections would proceed under the existing 2021 court-drawn districts. With primaries completed, candidate filings closed, and the November general election less than two months away, no viable legal or legislative pathway remains to implement new lines. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability against a new map. The only realistic shifts would require an unforeseen court reversal or extraordinary legislative action outside normal timelines, both viewed as negligible given exhausted appeals and fixed election calendars.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
交易量
$70,332結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETThe Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.The Virginia Supreme Court’s May 8, 2026, ruling invalidated the constitutional amendment and associated congressional map after finding the Democratic-led legislature violated procedural requirements under Article XII by advancing the measure during an ongoing 2025 election period. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review in mid-May, and Governor Abigail Spanberger subsequently confirmed the 2026 House elections would proceed under the existing 2021 court-drawn districts. With primaries completed, candidate filings closed, and the November general election less than two months away, no viable legal or legislative pathway remains to implement new lines. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability against a new map. The only realistic shifts would require an unforeseen court reversal or extraordinary legislative action outside normal timelines, both viewed as negligible given exhausted appeals and fixed election calendars.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$70,332結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETThe Virginia Supreme Court’s May 8, 2026, ruling invalidated the constitutional amendment and associated congressional map after finding the Democratic-led legislature violated procedural requirements under Article XII by advancing the measure during an ongoing 2025 election period. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review in mid-May, and Governor Abigail Spanberger subsequently confirmed the 2026 House elections would proceed under the existing 2021 court-drawn districts. With primaries completed, candidate filings closed, and the November general election less than two months away, no viable legal or legislative pathway remains to implement new lines. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability against a new map. The only realistic shifts would require an unforeseen court reversal or extraordinary legislative action outside normal timelines, both viewed as negligible given exhausted appeals and fixed election calendars.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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