Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza, which remains unexecuted amid Israel's non-membership and U.S. opposition to enforcement. His domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court advanced in mid-2026 with the conclusion of his 98-day testimony, after which judges reiterated calls to drop the most serious bribery count while lesser fraud and breach-of-trust charges continue; no verdict or custodial outcome is imminent. Recent focus has centered on his scheduled brief September 23–24, 2026, appearance at the UN General Assembly in New York, where city officials lack authority to act on the ICC warrant and federal policy under President Trump explicitly rules out any arrest. Turkish proceedings have produced separate international requests, but these face similar jurisdictional hurdles. Traders assess near-term arrest risk as low given structural immunities for a sitting prime minister, alliance protections, and procedural timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,464 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
<1%
12月31日
7%
$25,464 交易量
9月30日
$19,094 交易量
<1%
12月31日
$6,370 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza, which remains unexecuted amid Israel's non-membership and U.S. opposition to enforcement. His domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court advanced in mid-2026 with the conclusion of his 98-day testimony, after which judges reiterated calls to drop the most serious bribery count while lesser fraud and breach-of-trust charges continue; no verdict or custodial outcome is imminent. Recent focus has centered on his scheduled brief September 23–24, 2026, appearance at the UN General Assembly in New York, where city officials lack authority to act on the ICC warrant and federal policy under President Trump explicitly rules out any arrest. Turkish proceedings have produced separate international requests, but these face similar jurisdictional hurdles. Traders assess near-term arrest risk as low given structural immunities for a sitting prime minister, alliance protections, and procedural timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
交易量
$25,464結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza, which remains unexecuted amid Israel's non-membership and U.S. opposition to enforcement. His domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court advanced in mid-2026 with the conclusion of his 98-day testimony, after which judges reiterated calls to drop the most serious bribery count while lesser fraud and breach-of-trust charges continue; no verdict or custodial outcome is imminent. Recent focus has centered on his scheduled brief September 23–24, 2026, appearance at the UN General Assembly in New York, where city officials lack authority to act on the ICC warrant and federal policy under President Trump explicitly rules out any arrest. Turkish proceedings have produced separate international requests, but these face similar jurisdictional hurdles. Traders assess near-term arrest risk as low given structural immunities for a sitting prime minister, alliance protections, and procedural timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$25,464結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETBenjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza, which remains unexecuted amid Israel's non-membership and U.S. opposition to enforcement. His domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court advanced in mid-2026 with the conclusion of his 98-day testimony, after which judges reiterated calls to drop the most serious bribery count while lesser fraud and breach-of-trust charges continue; no verdict or custodial outcome is imminent. Recent focus has centered on his scheduled brief September 23–24, 2026, appearance at the UN General Assembly in New York, where city officials lack authority to act on the ICC warrant and federal policy under President Trump explicitly rules out any arrest. Turkish proceedings have produced separate international requests, but these face similar jurisdictional hurdles. Traders assess near-term arrest risk as low given structural immunities for a sitting prime minister, alliance protections, and procedural timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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