Japan's government has not established a national UAP disclosure program or announced any timeline for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE releases—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and confirmed possession of domestic UAP footage, yet emphasized case-by-case decisions that prioritize protection of intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized collection and coordination under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan launched its National Intelligence Bureau in July, but neither step has produced scheduled releases or legislative mandates. With roughly three months remaining in 2026 and no verified declassifications to date, trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects these procedural and security constraints rather than any expectation of broad disclosure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7% 機率
$12,802 交易量
$12,802 交易量
2026-12-31
7% 機率
$12,802 交易量
$12,802 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan's government has not established a national UAP disclosure program or announced any timeline for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE releases—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and confirmed possession of domestic UAP footage, yet emphasized case-by-case decisions that prioritize protection of intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized collection and coordination under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan launched its National Intelligence Bureau in July, but neither step has produced scheduled releases or legislative mandates. With roughly three months remaining in 2026 and no verified declassifications to date, trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects these procedural and security constraints rather than any expectation of broad disclosure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
交易量
$12,802結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Japan's government has not established a national UAP disclosure program or announced any timeline for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE releases—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and confirmed possession of domestic UAP footage, yet emphasized case-by-case decisions that prioritize protection of intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized collection and coordination under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan launched its National Intelligence Bureau in July, but neither step has produced scheduled releases or legislative mandates. With roughly three months remaining in 2026 and no verified declassifications to date, trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects these procedural and security constraints rather than any expectation of broad disclosure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$12,802結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ETJapan's government has not established a national UAP disclosure program or announced any timeline for releasing previously non-public files on unexplained aerial phenomena. Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that Tokyo is analyzing U.S. PURSUE releases—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with interest and confirmed possession of domestic UAP footage, yet emphasized case-by-case decisions that prioritize protection of intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group submitted proposals for centralized collection and coordination under the Cabinet Secretariat, and Japan launched its National Intelligence Bureau in July, but neither step has produced scheduled releases or legislative mandates. With roughly three months remaining in 2026 and no verified declassifications to date, trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects these procedural and security constraints rather than any expectation of broad disclosure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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