**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations, with the main trial involving over 400 defendants still ongoing in September 2026.** Hearings continue through late 2026, and judges have repeatedly rejected release motions for İmamoğlu while granting conditional release to dozens of co-defendants in earlier sessions. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-plus prison term and political-rights restrictions, and an espionage-related case remains active. These factors, combined with the scale of the proceedings and extended detention limits for serious financial crimes, underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026. No executive or procedural developments have altered the custody status in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations, with the main trial involving over 400 defendants still ongoing in September 2026.** Hearings continue through late 2026, and judges have repeatedly rejected release motions for İmamoğlu while granting conditional release to dozens of co-defendants in earlier sessions. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-plus prison term and political-rights restrictions, and an espionage-related case remains active. These factors, combined with the scale of the proceedings and extended detention limits for serious financial crimes, underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026. No executive or procedural developments have altered the custody status in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
交易量
$6,529結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations, with the main trial involving over 400 defendants still ongoing in September 2026.** Hearings continue through late 2026, and judges have repeatedly rejected release motions for İmamoğlu while granting conditional release to dozens of co-defendants in earlier sessions. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-plus prison term and political-rights restrictions, and an espionage-related case remains active. These factors, combined with the scale of the proceedings and extended detention limits for serious financial crimes, underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026. No executive or procedural developments have altered the custody status in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,529結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations, with the main trial involving over 400 defendants still ongoing in September 2026.** Hearings continue through late 2026, and judges have repeatedly rejected release motions for İmamoğlu while granting conditional release to dozens of co-defendants in earlier sessions. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-plus prison term and political-rights restrictions, and an espionage-related case remains active. These factors, combined with the scale of the proceedings and extended detention limits for serious financial crimes, underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026. No executive or procedural developments have altered the custody status in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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