**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於73% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-13
73% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-13
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records an albatross at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only an albatross recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No albatross recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET**The extreme rarity of an albatross in professional golf underpins the 63.5% trader consensus favoring “No” at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open.** Albatrosses (typically a 2 on a par-5) occur at roughly 1-in-1-million to 6-million odds even for elite players, requiring a perfect drive followed by a precise long approach that finds the hole. At Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg—a firm, windy links course hosting the event for the first time—par-5 setups, variable Atlantic winds, and run-up greens reduce the realistic chances for such shots across the 144-player field. Recent tournament history shows occasional near-misses (such as McIlroy’s 2025 effort) but no surge in frequency, keeping implied probability of occurrence well below 50% despite the star-studded lineup of McIlroy, Lowry, Rahm, and others.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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