Syria’s post-Assad government has pursued security talks with Israel since late 2025, with President Ahmed al-Sharaa stating in July 2026 that Damascus seeks a broader agreement potentially opening the door to formal recognition. This remains the most active bilateral track among non-recognizers. Broader normalization efforts, including Saudi-Israeli talks, remain conditioned on progress toward Palestinian statehood and have shown limited movement amid ongoing regional tensions. Meanwhile, Israel and Morocco agreed in September 2026 to upgrade existing ties with full embassies and ambassadors by year-end, but this does not constitute new recognition. Trader focus centers on whether Syrian negotiations produce a formal diplomatic breakthrough before December 31, against a backdrop of stalled Abraham Accords expansion and competing recognitions of Palestinian statehood by Western nations in 2025.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
$803,531 KL.

Lebanon
10%

Venezuela
9%

Saudi Arabia
7%

Tunisia
6%

Pakistan
5%

Syria
5%

Cuba
4%

Iran
4%

North Korea
4%

Iraq
4%

Indonesia
3%

Afghanistan
3%

Kuwait
3%

Malaysia
3%

Qatar
2%

Bangladesh
2%
$803,531 KL.

Lebanon
10%

Venezuela
9%

Saudi Arabia
7%

Tunisia
6%

Pakistan
5%

Syria
5%

Cuba
4%

Iran
4%

North Korea
4%

Iraq
4%

Indonesia
3%

Afghanistan
3%

Kuwait
3%

Malaysia
3%

Qatar
2%

Bangladesh
2%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Syria’s post-Assad government has pursued security talks with Israel since late 2025, with President Ahmed al-Sharaa stating in July 2026 that Damascus seeks a broader agreement potentially opening the door to formal recognition. This remains the most active bilateral track among non-recognizers. Broader normalization efforts, including Saudi-Israeli talks, remain conditioned on progress toward Palestinian statehood and have shown limited movement amid ongoing regional tensions. Meanwhile, Israel and Morocco agreed in September 2026 to upgrade existing ties with full embassies and ambassadors by year-end, but this does not constitute new recognition. Trader focus centers on whether Syrian negotiations produce a formal diplomatic breakthrough before December 31, against a backdrop of stalled Abraham Accords expansion and competing recognitions of Palestinian statehood by Western nations in 2025.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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