Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh’s strong position stems from his December 2025 defection from the PDP to the APC, followed by a decisive May 2026 primary victory securing the APC governorship ticket with over 233,000 votes. The ruling party at the federal level has publicly endorsed his re-election bid, with recent September 2026 events including his formal reception into the APC, consensus state executive elections, and statements projecting one-party dominance in Plateau ahead of the February 2027 vote. INEC’s September 2026 listing of Kefas Ropshik as the PDP candidate resolved internal PDP disputes but leaves opposition forces fragmented across parties such as the ADC, where John Sunday Sura is the nominee. These developments have consolidated trader consensus around the incumbent’s path while limiting viable alternatives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMutfwang Caleb Manasseh 79%
Kefas Ropshik 11.9%
Margaret Inusa Yahaya 4.4%
John Sunday Sura 1.7%
$10,792 KL.
$10,792 KL.
Feb 6, 2027
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
79%
Kefas Ropshik
12%
Margaret Inusa Yahaya
4%
John Sunday Sura
2%
Sunday Garba Biggs
1%
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh 79%
Kefas Ropshik 11.9%
Margaret Inusa Yahaya 4.4%
John Sunday Sura 1.7%
$10,792 KL.
$10,792 KL.
Feb 6, 2027
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
$8,039 KL.
79%
Kefas Ropshik
$251 KL.
12%
Margaret Inusa Yahaya
$90 KL.
4%
John Sunday Sura
$142 KL.
2%
Sunday Garba Biggs
$2,270 KL.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh’s strong position stems from his December 2025 defection from the PDP to the APC, followed by a decisive May 2026 primary victory securing the APC governorship ticket with over 233,000 votes. The ruling party at the federal level has publicly endorsed his re-election bid, with recent September 2026 events including his formal reception into the APC, consensus state executive elections, and statements projecting one-party dominance in Plateau ahead of the February 2027 vote. INEC’s September 2026 listing of Kefas Ropshik as the PDP candidate resolved internal PDP disputes but leaves opposition forces fragmented across parties such as the ADC, where John Sunday Sura is the nominee. These developments have consolidated trader consensus around the incumbent’s path while limiting viable alternatives.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,792Ngày kết thúc
Feb 6, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh’s strong position stems from his December 2025 defection from the PDP to the APC, followed by a decisive May 2026 primary victory securing the APC governorship ticket with over 233,000 votes. The ruling party at the federal level has publicly endorsed his re-election bid, with recent September 2026 events including his formal reception into the APC, consensus state executive elections, and statements projecting one-party dominance in Plateau ahead of the February 2027 vote. INEC’s September 2026 listing of Kefas Ropshik as the PDP candidate resolved internal PDP disputes but leaves opposition forces fragmented across parties such as the ADC, where John Sunday Sura is the nominee. These developments have consolidated trader consensus around the incumbent’s path while limiting viable alternatives.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Khối lượng
$10,792Ngày kết thúc
Feb 6, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh’s strong position stems from his December 2025 defection from the PDP to the APC, followed by a decisive May 2026 primary victory securing the APC governorship ticket with over 233,000 votes. The ruling party at the federal level has publicly endorsed his re-election bid, with recent September 2026 events including his formal reception into the APC, consensus state executive elections, and statements projecting one-party dominance in Plateau ahead of the February 2027 vote. INEC’s September 2026 listing of Kefas Ropshik as the PDP candidate resolved internal PDP disputes but leaves opposition forces fragmented across parties such as the ADC, where John Sunday Sura is the nominee. These developments have consolidated trader consensus around the incumbent’s path while limiting viable alternatives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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