The extreme historical rarity of no-hitters in MLB postseason play anchors the 94.5% implied probability against one occurring in 2026. Only a handful have been thrown across more than a century of playoffs, including Don Larsen’s perfect game in the 1956 World Series and Roy Halladay’s 2010 NLDS gem. With a finite schedule of roughly two dozen high-stakes games featuring elite starters, deep bullpens, and strong offensive lineups from top clubs like the Dodgers and other contenders, the statistical bar remains high. Recent regular-season trends, including seasons with zero or very few no-hitters, further underscore how difficult it is to combine dominant pitching, flawless defense, and favorable matchups over multiple rounds. While individual aces or favorable weather could theoretically shift outcomes, the combination of limited opportunities and playoff intensity keeps trader consensus heavily weighted toward no no-hitter.