Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent in a state that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong margins for Donald Trump in 2024. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9-10 points, consistent with forecasts rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, while Angie Nixon's Democratic primary upset victory has not narrowed the gap in general election surveys. Key factors include Moody's fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and Florida's electoral fundamentals. A challenge to her lead would require significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected national political changes before the November 3 ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$111,853 KL.
$111,853 KL.
Ashley Moody (R)
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$111,853 KL.
$111,853 KL.
Ashley Moody (R)
$56,393 KL.
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,461 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent in a state that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong margins for Donald Trump in 2024. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9-10 points, consistent with forecasts rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, while Angie Nixon's Democratic primary upset victory has not narrowed the gap in general election surveys. Key factors include Moody's fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and Florida's electoral fundamentals. A challenge to her lead would require significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected national political changes before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$111,853Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent in a state that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong margins for Donald Trump in 2024. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9-10 points, consistent with forecasts rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, while Angie Nixon's Democratic primary upset victory has not narrowed the gap in general election surveys. Key factors include Moody's fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and Florida's electoral fundamentals. A challenge to her lead would require significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected national political changes before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$111,853Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent in a state that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong margins for Donald Trump in 2024. Polling averages show her ahead by roughly 9-10 points, consistent with forecasts rating the race Likely or Solid Republican. Moody secured her party's nomination with minimal opposition after her appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, while Angie Nixon's Democratic primary upset victory has not narrowed the gap in general election surveys. Key factors include Moody's fundraising edge, party infrastructure, and Florida's electoral fundamentals. A challenge to her lead would require significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected national political changes before the November 3 ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp