Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in the FL-05 House race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential voting and his primary victory with over two-thirds of the vote. As of mid-September 2026, roughly seven weeks before the November general election, Rutherford's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. Rachel Grage, the Democratic nominee, secured her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Late shifts could still occur from national economic conditions, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though historical patterns show limited volatility in similar solidly partisan seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-05 House Election Winner
FL-05 House Election Winner
$16,874 KL.
$16,874 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
John Rutherford (R)
93%
Rachel Grage (D)
8%
$16,874 KL.
$16,874 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
John Rutherford (R)
$8,871 KL.
93%
Rachel Grage (D)
$8,002 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in the FL-05 House race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential voting and his primary victory with over two-thirds of the vote. As of mid-September 2026, roughly seven weeks before the November general election, Rutherford's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. Rachel Grage, the Democratic nominee, secured her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Late shifts could still occur from national economic conditions, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though historical patterns show limited volatility in similar solidly partisan seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,874Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in the FL-05 House race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential voting and his primary victory with over two-thirds of the vote. As of mid-September 2026, roughly seven weeks before the November general election, Rutherford's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. Rachel Grage, the Democratic nominee, secured her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Late shifts could still occur from national economic conditions, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though historical patterns show limited volatility in similar solidly partisan seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,874Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in the FL-05 House race, reflecting the district's consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential voting and his primary victory with over two-thirds of the vote. As of mid-September 2026, roughly seven weeks before the November general election, Rutherford's substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. Rachel Grage, the Democratic nominee, secured her primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Late shifts could still occur from national economic conditions, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though historical patterns show limited volatility in similar solidly partisan seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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