As of mid-September 2026, the first measurable snowfall of at least 0.1 inches remains unlikely outside high-elevation northern Rockies sites, where September arrivals align with climatological norms tracked by NOAA stations. A strengthening Super El Niño pattern, with odds exceeding 90% for a historically strong event through fall and winter, is expected to favor a split storm track that may delay widespread snow in the northern tier while enhancing moisture farther south. National Weather Service daily climate reports from key stations, including those in Montana, Wyoming, and the Upper Midwest, will determine resolution, with model consensus currently showing limited early cold-air intrusions capable of producing qualifying accumulation. Traders should watch for updated NHC and NOAA seasonal outlooks and any rapid Arctic air mass shifts that could accelerate timelines beyond historical medians.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFirst snow of the 2026 season
$12,181 KL.

Buffalo, NY by October 31
65%

Denver, CO by October 31
79%

Minneapolis, MN by October 31
56%

Salt Lake City, UT by October 31
46%

Boston, MA by November 15
69%

Buffalo, NY by November 15
73%

Chicago, IL by November 15
79%

Denver, CO by November 15
63%

Detroit, MI by November 15
84%

Indianapolis, IN by November 15
92%

Kansas City, MO by November 15
53%

Minneapolis, MN by November 15
89%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 15
62%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 15
79%

Boston, MA by November 30
84%

Buffalo, NY by November 30
93%

Chicago, IL by November 30
73%

Cincinnati, OH by November 30
83%

Dallas, TX by November 30
26%

Denver, CO by November 30
99%

Detroit, MI by November 30
86%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30
98%

Kansas City, MO by November 30
72%

Minneapolis, MN by November 30
94%

Nashville, TN by November 30
29%

New York City, NY by November 30
68%

Philadelphia, PA by November 30
88%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 30
77%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 30
86%

St. Louis, MO by November 30
75%

Washington, DC by November 30
43%
$12,181 KL.

Buffalo, NY by October 31
65%

Denver, CO by October 31
79%

Minneapolis, MN by October 31
56%

Salt Lake City, UT by October 31
46%

Boston, MA by November 15
69%

Buffalo, NY by November 15
73%

Chicago, IL by November 15
79%

Denver, CO by November 15
63%

Detroit, MI by November 15
84%

Indianapolis, IN by November 15
92%

Kansas City, MO by November 15
53%

Minneapolis, MN by November 15
89%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 15
62%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 15
79%

Boston, MA by November 30
84%

Buffalo, NY by November 30
93%

Chicago, IL by November 30
73%

Cincinnati, OH by November 30
83%

Dallas, TX by November 30
26%

Denver, CO by November 30
99%

Detroit, MI by November 30
86%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30
98%

Kansas City, MO by November 30
72%

Minneapolis, MN by November 30
94%

Nashville, TN by November 30
29%

New York City, NY by November 30
68%

Philadelphia, PA by November 30
88%

Pittsburgh, PA by November 30
77%

Salt Lake City, UT by November 30
86%

St. Louis, MO by November 30
75%

Washington, DC by November 30
43%
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KIND (midnight to midnight local time, America/Indiana/Indianapolis).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KIND, issued as product CLIIND. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIIND.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KIND (midnight to midnight local time, America/Indiana/Indianapolis).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KIND, issued as product CLIIND. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIIND.
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...As of mid-September 2026, the first measurable snowfall of at least 0.1 inches remains unlikely outside high-elevation northern Rockies sites, where September arrivals align with climatological norms tracked by NOAA stations. A strengthening Super El Niño pattern, with odds exceeding 90% for a historically strong event through fall and winter, is expected to favor a split storm track that may delay widespread snow in the northern tier while enhancing moisture farther south. National Weather Service daily climate reports from key stations, including those in Montana, Wyoming, and the Upper Midwest, will determine resolution, with model consensus currently showing limited early cold-air intrusions capable of producing qualifying accumulation. Traders should watch for updated NHC and NOAA seasonal outlooks and any rapid Arctic air mass shifts that could accelerate timelines beyond historical medians.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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