**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
23% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
23% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$151Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$151Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp