Recent Kremlin statements have positioned China as the frontrunner for the next Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Putin-Trump phone calls in September referenced this option, building on earlier SCO talks and ongoing Ukraine diplomacy. Traders have assigned China a 69% implied probability, reflecting these signals and Beijing’s role hosting the forum. The 26.5% chance of no meeting by year-end captures scheduling uncertainty and the lack of a firm bilateral commitment. Other venues, including the United States, remain at single-digit levels amid the current diplomatic momentum toward Asia.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChina 69%
No meeting by December 31 26%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$1,197,440 Обс.
$1,197,440 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
China
69%
No meeting by December 31
26%
United States
3%
Gulf country
1%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
1%
Russia
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
China 69%
No meeting by December 31 26%
United States 2.6%
Gulf country <1%
$1,197,440 Обс.
$1,197,440 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
China
$160,037 Обс.
69%
No meeting by December 31
$341,565 Обс.
26%
United States
$62,635 Обс.
3%
Gulf country
$49,575 Обс.
1%
Turkey
$52,340 Обс.
1%
Other
$49,542 Обс.
1%
Switzerland
$53,996 Обс.
1%
Russia
$105,330 Обс.
1%
Other EU country
$49,495 Обс.
<1%
Finland
$47,455 Обс.
<1%
Belarus
$53,165 Обс.
<1%
South Korea
$47,366 Обс.
<1%
Japan
$42,007 Обс.
<1%
Australia
$47,624 Обс.
<1%
Ukraine
$35,306 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Kremlin statements have positioned China as the frontrunner for the next Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Putin-Trump phone calls in September referenced this option, building on earlier SCO talks and ongoing Ukraine diplomacy. Traders have assigned China a 69% implied probability, reflecting these signals and Beijing’s role hosting the forum. The 26.5% chance of no meeting by year-end captures scheduling uncertainty and the lack of a firm bilateral commitment. Other venues, including the United States, remain at single-digit levels amid the current diplomatic momentum toward Asia.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,197,440Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Kremlin statements have positioned China as the frontrunner for the next Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Putin-Trump phone calls in September referenced this option, building on earlier SCO talks and ongoing Ukraine diplomacy. Traders have assigned China a 69% implied probability, reflecting these signals and Beijing’s role hosting the forum. The 26.5% chance of no meeting by year-end captures scheduling uncertainty and the lack of a firm bilateral commitment. Other venues, including the United States, remain at single-digit levels amid the current diplomatic momentum toward Asia.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,197,440Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements have positioned China as the frontrunner for the next Trump-Putin encounter, with aides confirming discussions of a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Putin-Trump phone calls in September referenced this option, building on earlier SCO talks and ongoing Ukraine diplomacy. Traders have assigned China a 69% implied probability, reflecting these signals and Beijing’s role hosting the forum. The 26.5% chance of no meeting by year-end captures scheduling uncertainty and the lack of a firm bilateral commitment. Other venues, including the United States, remain at single-digit levels amid the current diplomatic momentum toward Asia.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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