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icon for Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?

Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?

icon for Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?

Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?

0% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
0% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve’s most recent hero addition, the bard frog Largo in December 2025, ended a 403-day drought and aligned with the studio’s recent pattern of roughly one original character per year. Ongoing Dark Carnival content in mid-2026 has delivered only cosmetic personas and narrative updates, leaving the roster static for nine months. Community datamining continues to surface unconfirmed names and mechanics, sustaining speculation, yet no official teaser or patch roadmap has surfaced. With roughly four months remaining, traders see the historical cadence and Valve’s preference for holiday-timed drops as the main drivers behind the 63.5% implied probability for a release by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.

For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$11
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve’s most recent hero addition, the bard frog Largo in December 2025, ended a 403-day drought and aligned with the studio’s recent pattern of roughly one original character per year. Ongoing Dark Carnival content in mid-2026 has delivered only cosmetic personas and narrative updates, leaving the roster static for nine months. Community datamining continues to surface unconfirmed names and mechanics, sustaining speculation, yet no official teaser or patch roadmap has surfaced. With roughly four months remaining, traders see the historical cadence and Valve’s preference for holiday-timed drops as the main drivers behind the 63.5% implied probability for a release by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.

For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$11
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 64% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 64¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 64%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?» — 64% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 64% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.