Recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that Stripe will not acquire any portion of the company this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, citing valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and committed financing constraints, while Stripe has since pursued smaller deals such as OpenRouter and Clerky. PayPal’s improving quarterly results and focus on its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores have further reduced near-term deal momentum. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sharply higher revised bid if PayPal shares weaken materially or selective asset purchases, though both appear unlikely given the recent breakdown in talks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено10% шанс
$85,621 Обс.
$85,621 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
10% шанс
$85,621 Обс.
$85,621 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that Stripe will not acquire any portion of the company this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, citing valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and committed financing constraints, while Stripe has since pursued smaller deals such as OpenRouter and Clerky. PayPal’s improving quarterly results and focus on its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores have further reduced near-term deal momentum. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sharply higher revised bid if PayPal shares weaken materially or selective asset purchases, though both appear unlikely given the recent breakdown in talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$85,621Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that Stripe will not acquire any portion of the company this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, citing valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and committed financing constraints, while Stripe has since pursued smaller deals such as OpenRouter and Clerky. PayPal’s improving quarterly results and focus on its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores have further reduced near-term deal momentum. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sharply higher revised bid if PayPal shares weaken materially or selective asset purchases, though both appear unlikely given the recent breakdown in talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$85,621Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability that Stripe will not acquire any portion of the company this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as inadequate, citing valuation gaps, regulatory hurdles, and committed financing constraints, while Stripe has since pursued smaller deals such as OpenRouter and Clerky. PayPal’s improving quarterly results and focus on its standalone turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores have further reduced near-term deal momentum. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sharply higher revised bid if PayPal shares weaken materially or selective asset purchases, though both appear unlikely given the recent breakdown in talks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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