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Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?

icon for Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?

Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?

НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
Polymarket

$3,131 Обс.

Polymarket

September 20

$677 Обс.

1%

September 30

$1,894 Обс.

16%

October 31

$560 Обс.

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Current U.S. retail gasoline prices remain elevated, with the national average for regular unleaded near $4.48 per gallon as of the week ending September 21, 2026, according to EIA data, reflecting a roughly 40% year-over-year increase. The lowest state-level averages, such as Texas at approximately $3.93 and select Gulf Coast states near $3.97, sit well above the $3.75 threshold, while California exceeds $6.00. Primary drivers include elevated crude oil benchmarks near $91 per barrel amid Middle East supply disruptions, historically low global inventories, and constrained refining capacity that has sustained wide crack spreads. Seasonal demand moderation into fall and potential inventory builds could influence near-term movements, though persistent geopolitical risks and limited spare capacity continue to support higher price levels across regions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Обсяг
$3,131
Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070be91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Current U.S. retail gasoline prices remain elevated, with the national average for regular unleaded near $4.48 per gallon as of the week ending September 21, 2026, according to EIA data, reflecting a roughly 40% year-over-year increase. The lowest state-level averages, such as Texas at approximately $3.93 and select Gulf Coast states near $3.97, sit well above the $3.75 threshold, while California exceeds $6.00. Primary drivers include elevated crude oil benchmarks near $91 per barrel amid Middle East supply disruptions, historically low global inventories, and constrained refining capacity that has sustained wide crack spreads. Seasonal demand moderation into fall and potential inventory builds could influence near-term movements, though persistent geopolitical risks and limited spare capacity continue to support higher price levels across regions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Обсяг
$3,131
Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070be91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «October 31» з 54%, далі «September 30» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?» — «October 31» з 54%. Наступний — «September 30» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.