Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 28-29%, leaving second place contested primarily among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ. Aggregated projections and seat models indicate the PLQ maintains an edge for official opposition status due to stronger performance in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, while the CAQ has slipped amid leadership transition challenges under Christine Fréchette and ongoing scrutiny over government spending and project overruns. The PCQ has posted gains in some surveys but remains regionally concentrated. Late-campaign debates and external trade concerns have not materially altered these relative standings in the weeks before the October 5 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPLQ 62%
CAQ 35%
PQ 4.7%
PCQ <1%
$29,759 Обс.
$29,759 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
62%
CAQ
35%
PQ
5%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 62%
CAQ 35%
PQ 4.7%
PCQ <1%
$29,759 Обс.
$29,759 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$7,721 Обс.
62%
CAQ
$10,079 Обс.
35%
PQ
$6,927 Обс.
5%
PCQ
$1,844 Обс.
<1%
QS
$1,788 Обс.
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 28-29%, leaving second place contested primarily among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ. Aggregated projections and seat models indicate the PLQ maintains an edge for official opposition status due to stronger performance in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, while the CAQ has slipped amid leadership transition challenges under Christine Fréchette and ongoing scrutiny over government spending and project overruns. The PCQ has posted gains in some surveys but remains regionally concentrated. Late-campaign debates and external trade concerns have not materially altered these relative standings in the weeks before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,759Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 28-29%, leaving second place contested primarily among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ. Aggregated projections and seat models indicate the PLQ maintains an edge for official opposition status due to stronger performance in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, while the CAQ has slipped amid leadership transition challenges under Christine Fréchette and ongoing scrutiny over government spending and project overruns. The PCQ has posted gains in some surveys but remains regionally concentrated. Late-campaign debates and external trade concerns have not materially altered these relative standings in the weeks before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$29,759Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois holding a steady lead near 28-29%, leaving second place contested primarily among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ. Aggregated projections and seat models indicate the PLQ maintains an edge for official opposition status due to stronger performance in Montreal and among non-francophone voters, while the CAQ has slipped amid leadership transition challenges under Christine Fréchette and ongoing scrutiny over government spending and project overruns. The PCQ has posted gains in some surveys but remains regionally concentrated. Late-campaign debates and external trade concerns have not materially altered these relative standings in the weeks before the October 5 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання