Lionel Messi’s league-leading 25 goals and 15 assists—totaling 40 goal contributions—combined with top rankings in expected goals plus assists and goals added metrics have solidified trader consensus around his 94.1% implied probability for the 2026 Landon Donovan MLS MVP. The Inter Miami forward has extended multiple records, including the first player with at least 15 assists in three consecutive seasons, while powering the Herons’ attack alongside Luis Suárez and Germán Berterame. Recent multi-goal performances have widened his Golden Boot lead over Petar Musa and reinforced his case for a historic three-peat after prior wins. Late-season injuries, a sharp drop in form during the final matches, or unexpected voting emphasis on defensive contributions could theoretically narrow the gap, though current statistical margins make significant shifts unlikely.