The US trade embargo, reinforced by intensified sanctions and secondary measures under the Trump administration through mid-2026, remains the dominant barrier to any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba. Cuban officials, including Prime Minister Manuel Marrero and President Miguel Díaz-Canel, signaled openness to foreign franchises and “light food service networks of recognized brands” in June via party plenary decisions and Decree 167, yet framed participation strictly under regime rules and “conditions of equality.” No US company has confirmed interest or pursued licensing amid ongoing export restrictions, shipping disruptions, and risks tied to entities like GAESA. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement is improbable before year-end, despite the theoretical policy shift.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено7% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
7% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US trade embargo, reinforced by intensified sanctions and secondary measures under the Trump administration through mid-2026, remains the dominant barrier to any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba. Cuban officials, including Prime Minister Manuel Marrero and President Miguel Díaz-Canel, signaled openness to foreign franchises and “light food service networks of recognized brands” in June via party plenary decisions and Decree 167, yet framed participation strictly under regime rules and “conditions of equality.” No US company has confirmed interest or pursued licensing amid ongoing export restrictions, shipping disruptions, and risks tied to entities like GAESA. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement is improbable before year-end, despite the theoretical policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,725Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US trade embargo, reinforced by intensified sanctions and secondary measures under the Trump administration through mid-2026, remains the dominant barrier to any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba. Cuban officials, including Prime Minister Manuel Marrero and President Miguel Díaz-Canel, signaled openness to foreign franchises and “light food service networks of recognized brands” in June via party plenary decisions and Decree 167, yet framed participation strictly under regime rules and “conditions of equality.” No US company has confirmed interest or pursued licensing amid ongoing export restrictions, shipping disruptions, and risks tied to entities like GAESA. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement is improbable before year-end, despite the theoretical policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,725Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The US trade embargo, reinforced by intensified sanctions and secondary measures under the Trump administration through mid-2026, remains the dominant barrier to any McDonald’s announcement in Cuba. Cuban officials, including Prime Minister Manuel Marrero and President Miguel Díaz-Canel, signaled openness to foreign franchises and “light food service networks of recognized brands” in June via party plenary decisions and Decree 167, yet framed participation strictly under regime rules and “conditions of equality.” No US company has confirmed interest or pursued licensing amid ongoing export restrictions, shipping disruptions, and risks tied to entities like GAESA. These factors sustain trader consensus that an announcement is improbable before year-end, despite the theoretical policy shift.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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