Incumbent Democratic senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face no evident pressures to depart office in 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% that neither will leave. Ossoff, whose Class 2 seat is contested in the November 2026 general election, advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary and leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in available polling while actively campaigning on constituent services and Georgia-specific issues. Warnock’s Class 3 term runs through January 2029 with no retirement signals or special circumstances reported. High re-election rates for sitting senators and the lack of announced vacancies or health-related exits reinforce the implied probability. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen resignations, serious scandals, or adverse health events remain the primary variables that could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democratic senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock face no evident pressures to depart office in 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 97% that neither will leave. Ossoff, whose Class 2 seat is contested in the November 2026 general election, advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary and leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in available polling while actively campaigning on constituent services and Georgia-specific issues. Warnock’s Class 3 term runs through January 2029 with no retirement signals or special circumstances reported. High re-election rates for sitting senators and the lack of announced vacancies or health-related exits reinforce the implied probability. Late-breaking developments such as unforeseen resignations, serious scandals, or adverse health events remain the primary variables that could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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