Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong polling averages around 54% against Republican nominee Darren Bailey's 34%, combined with Illinois's consistent Democratic lean and Pritzker's substantial self-funding advantage exceeding $300 million. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but trails in fundraising and faces challenges boosting turnout in downstate strongholds while attempting broader appeal in Chicago. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as economic surprises, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events in the final weeks before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
$11,266 Обс.
$11,266 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
96%
Darren Bailey (R)
3%
$11,266 Обс.
$11,266 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
$5,184 Обс.
96%
Darren Bailey (R)
$6,082 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong polling averages around 54% against Republican nominee Darren Bailey's 34%, combined with Illinois's consistent Democratic lean and Pritzker's substantial self-funding advantage exceeding $300 million. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but trails in fundraising and faces challenges boosting turnout in downstate strongholds while attempting broader appeal in Chicago. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as economic surprises, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,266Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong polling averages around 54% against Republican nominee Darren Bailey's 34%, combined with Illinois's consistent Democratic lean and Pritzker's substantial self-funding advantage exceeding $300 million. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but trails in fundraising and faces challenges boosting turnout in downstate strongholds while attempting broader appeal in Chicago. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as economic surprises, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$11,266Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his strong polling averages around 54% against Republican nominee Darren Bailey's 34%, combined with Illinois's consistent Democratic lean and Pritzker's substantial self-funding advantage exceeding $300 million. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but trails in fundraising and faces challenges boosting turnout in downstate strongholds while attempting broader appeal in Chicago. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with forecasts rating the contest solid Democratic and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign developments such as economic surprises, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events in the final weeks before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 750,000 and 800,000?
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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