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icon for Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?
Світ·страйк

Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?

icon for Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?
Світ·страйк

Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?

8 65.2%

9 30.3%

10 2.4%

11 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,707,031 Обс.

8 65.2%

9 30.3%

10 2.4%

11 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,707,031 Обс.

icon for 8

8

$320,445 Обс.

65%

icon for 9

9

$122,787 Обс.

30%

icon for 10

10

$30,732 Обс.

2%

icon for 11

11

$29,710 Обс.

2%

icon for 12

12

$50,199 Обс.

1%

icon for 13

13

$103,733 Обс.

1%

icon for 14

14

$152,420 Обс.

<1%

icon for 15+

15+

$130,852 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military operations in 2026 have centered on sustained airstrikes and interventions against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, alongside the January intervention in Venezuela and joint actions in Ecuador.** These, combined with counterterrorism strikes in Syria, Somalia, Nigeria, and related actions in Yemen and Iraq, have established a baseline of roughly eight countries with confirmed ground-territory strikes through September. Trader consensus at 65% for eight countries and 30% for nine reflects the scope of existing campaigns without clear triggers for rapid expansion. Recent September 2026 strikes on Iranian targets and IRGC-linked vessels have reinforced the Iran theater as the dominant driver, while planning for additional counternarcotics support in Colombia and other Latin American partners has not yet produced verified new land strikes. Ongoing naval interdictions and drone deployments signal potential for incremental additions, but resolution hinges on whether further escalations materialize before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,707,031
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US military operations in 2026 have centered on sustained airstrikes and interventions against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, alongside the January intervention in Venezuela and joint actions in Ecuador.** These, combined with counterterrorism strikes in Syria, Somalia, Nigeria, and related actions in Yemen and Iraq, have established a baseline of roughly eight countries with confirmed ground-territory strikes through September. Trader consensus at 65% for eight countries and 30% for nine reflects the scope of existing campaigns without clear triggers for rapid expansion. Recent September 2026 strikes on Iranian targets and IRGC-linked vessels have reinforced the Iran theater as the dominant driver, while planning for additional counternarcotics support in Colombia and other Latin American partners has not yet produced verified new land strikes. Ongoing naval interdictions and drone deployments signal potential for incremental additions, but resolution hinges on whether further escalations materialize before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,707,031
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

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76%
Так
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10%
Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 16 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «8» з 65%, далі «9» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» згенерував $1.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?», перегляньте 16 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» — «8» з 65%. Наступний — «9» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Скільки різних країн США проведуть військові дії у 2026 році?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.