**Strong trader consensus around a 7-8M second weekend for “Forgotten Island” stems primarily from its soft $13M domestic opening and the steep Friday drop of roughly 63% amid heavy competition from “Avengers: Endgame: Encore” and other titles.** Despite earning a 95% Rotten Tomatoes score and strong audience metrics (A CinemaScore, 96-97% PostTrak), the DreamWorks original has followed the recent pattern of underperforming animated releases that fail to convert critical praise into broad family turnout. Early daily tracking through October 2 shows limited holdover power in a market dominated by reissues and higher-profile fare. An upset above 8M would require unusually robust Saturday-Sunday gains or better-than-expected word-of-mouth in key family demographics, while sub-6M results remain possible if the current decline accelerates before final figures lock.